Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.353174 4.034389 4.796509 5.709054 6.768539 7.956290 9.384879
2025-03-30 2.266715 3.095647 4.124605 5.482461 7.212275 9.326081 12.086224
2025-04-06 1.689931 2.574084 3.772537 5.485969 7.837483 10.911533 15.186151
2025-04-13 1.294447 2.175228 3.465947 5.443861 8.335063 12.332356 18.183517
2025-04-20 1.099572 2.010406 3.436296 5.750902 9.312716 14.463317 22.314783
2025-04-27 0.928944 1.838726 3.353072 5.943991 10.119452 16.402470 26.326492
2025-05-04 0.812338 1.728745 3.340911 6.231062 11.080950 18.634282 30.933120
2025-05-11 0.671528 1.540786 3.159392 6.201432 11.516407 20.079928 34.444316
2025-05-18 0.534293 1.325772 2.888157 5.968357 11.571368 20.906846 37.028360
2025-05-25 0.419791 1.128186 2.611150 5.676618 11.476992 21.459837 39.186726
2025-06-01 0.353201 1.019384 2.488163 5.652078 11.844984 22.801581 42.720870
2025-06-08 0.303299 0.937102 2.404617 5.689722 12.323972 24.361332 46.718131
2025-06-15 0.256043 0.850666 2.300288 5.677663 12.721039 25.833798 50.720716
2025-06-22 0.202528 0.731340 2.098019 5.427558 12.622123 26.398921 53.168384
2025-06-29 0.171604 0.666878 2.013514 5.422325 13.013403 27.897826 57.393216
2025-07-06 0.144009 0.603441 1.918532 5.377574 13.313791 29.241362 61.415278
2025-07-13 0.134280 0.595592 1.967695 5.680241 14.386026 32.156031 68.552889
2025-07-20 0.121359 0.572569 1.971102 5.870858 15.228967 34.672757 75.079517
2025-07-27 0.112775 0.562712 2.009862 6.154718 16.305512 37.727657 82.813368
2025-08-03 0.096180 0.515942 1.931420 6.125349 16.662262 39.336254 87.814024
2025-08-10 0.077342 0.451795 1.785726 5.894743 16.522602 39.900031 90.772959
2025-08-17 0.060744 0.389020 1.628659 5.606132 16.208686 40.064026 92.925277
2025-08-24 0.051807 0.357730 1.568555 5.581854 16.537606 41.628669 98.018735